Improving Atmospheric River Forecasts Act
Summary
H.R. 4302, the "Improving Atmospheric River Forecasts Act," aims to enhance precipitation forecasting, particularly for water management in the western United States, and improve atmospheric river forecasts nationwide. The bill directs the Under Secretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere to establish pilot projects and an atmospheric river forecast improvement program. It also authorizes appropriations for these activities.
Expected Effects
The Act will lead to improved subseasonal to seasonal precipitation forecasts and enhanced atmospheric river forecasts. This will be achieved through research, development, and the implementation of advanced forecasting systems. The Act also emphasizes collaboration between government, academia, and the weather industry.
Potential Benefits
- Improved water management in the western United States due to better precipitation forecasts.
- Reduced loss of life and property from atmospheric rivers through more accurate and actionable forecasts.
- Advancement of scientific understanding of atmospheric rivers and their impact on precipitation.
- Enhanced collaboration between government agencies, academic institutions, and the weather industry.
- Development of improved forecast products and communication strategies to help the public understand and respond to atmospheric river events.
Potential Disadvantages
- The bill requires significant funding ($15,000,000 per year from 2026-2030 for pilot projects alone), which could strain the NOAA budget.
- The effectiveness of the program depends on successful collaboration and technology transfer between various entities, which may face challenges.
- The sunset clause on the subseasonal to seasonal forecasting pilot projects may limit long-term benefits if not extended.
- There may be unforeseen consequences or limitations in the accuracy and reliability of the improved forecasts.
- The focus on atmospheric rivers may divert resources from other important weather forecasting initiatives.
Constitutional Alignment
The bill aligns with the general welfare clause of the Constitution, as it aims to protect citizens from natural disasters and improve resource management. Specifically, the promotion of scientific research and development falls under the implied powers necessary to execute the enumerated powers of Congress. The Act does not appear to infringe upon any specific constitutional rights or limitations.
Impact Assessment: Things You Care About ⓘ
This action has been evaluated across 19 key areas that matter to you. Scores range from 1 (highly disadvantageous) to 5 (highly beneficial).